TR
Picks
La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estadio de La Cartuja
Real Betis4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Villarreal9th place
BET 41%X 27%VIL 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Real Betis take 2.5 points per game at home.
  • If Real Betis score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Villarreal score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Betis win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.44X27%3.68232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X259%1.691273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.30BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.50

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Betis · Columns: Villarreal1-1 probability 12.1%

Head to head

Villarreal – Real Betis14 September 20261-2
Real Betis – Villarreal17 January 20262-0
Villarreal – Real Betis18 October 20252-2
Real Betis – Villarreal13 April 20251-2
Villarreal – Real Betis15 December 20241-2
Real Betis – Villarreal10 March 20242-3