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La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Reale Arena
Real Sociedad5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Elche17th place
RSO 52%X 26%ELC 22%

Prediction

  • If Real Sociedad score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Elche score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.559%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Real Sociedad win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X26%3.92222%4.45
Double chance
1X78%1.29X248%2.081274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.559%1.70Under 2.541%2.42BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Real Sociedad · Columns: Elche1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Elche – Real Sociedad7 September 20262-3
Real Sociedad – Elche7 February 20263-1
Elche – Real Sociedad7 November 20251-1
Real Sociedad – Elche19 March 20232-0
Elche – Real Sociedad27 August 20220-1
Elche – Real Sociedad10 April 20221-2