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La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Sevilla6th place
OSA 43%X 28%SEV 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Osasuna 0.1, Sevilla -0.4.
  • If Osasuna score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sevilla score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Osasuna win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X28%3.55229%3.47
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.751272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Osasuna · Columns: Sevilla1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
OsasunaLDLWL
SevillaLDLWL

Head to head

Sevilla – Osasuna26 October 20262-0
Osasuna – Sevilla26 April 20262-1
Sevilla – Osasuna8 November 20251-0
Osasuna – Sevilla24 April 20251-0
Sevilla – Osasuna2 December 20241-1
Sevilla – Osasuna28 January 20241-1