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La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Racing Santander16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
RAC 27%X 25%RAY 48%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Rayo Vallecano lead by 92 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rayo Vallecano 1.6 points per game, Racing Santander 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Rayo Vallecano -0.3, Racing Santander -1.1.
  • If Racing Santander score first, they win 54% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 72% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.8
Over 2.561%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rayo Vallecano win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.71X25%3.97248%2.09
Double chance
1X52%1.92X273%1.371275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.53BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.63

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Racing Santander · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Racing Santander5 September 20263-2