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La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Espanyol14th place
CEL 50%X 28%ESP 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Celta Vigo 1.6 points per game, Espanyol 0.8.
  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Espanyol score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X28%3.58222%4.47
Double chance
1X78%1.29X250%1.991272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.542%2.38Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes46%2.15BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Espanyol1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Espanyol – Celta Vigo14 February 20262-2
Celta Vigo – Espanyol30 November 20250-1
Celta Vigo – Espanyol12 April 20250-2
Espanyol – Celta Vigo30 November 20243-1
Espanyol – Celta Vigo18 March 20231-3
Celta Vigo – Espanyol13 August 20222-2