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La Liga · Matchday 26Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Estadio Coliseum
Getafe12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés10th place
GET 35%X 31%ALA 33%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Getafe 1.4 points per game, Alavés 0.4.
  • If Getafe score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 14%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.0
Over 2.534%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Getafe win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.85X31%3.18233%2.99
Double chance
1X67%1.50X265%1.541269%1.46
Goals
Over 2.534%2.94Under 2.566%1.52BTTS yes42%2.36BTTS no58%1.73

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Getafe · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 14.5%

Form

Compare →
GetafeWLDLW
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Alavés – Getafe15 August 20263-0
Alavés – Getafe8 February 20260-2
Getafe – Alavés24 September 20251-1
Alavés – Getafe9 February 20250-1
Getafe – Alavés28 September 20242-0
Alavés – Getafe18 May 20241-0