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Championship · Matchday 41Wednesday 7 April · 20:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Norwich City15th place
BIR 50%X 27%NOR 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Birmingham City 2.4 points per game, Norwich City 1.2.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.01X27%3.77224%4.20
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%1.991273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Norwich City – Birmingham City9 September 20262-1
Norwich City – Birmingham City21 February 20261-2
Birmingham City – Norwich City22 November 20254-1
Birmingham City – Norwich City4 May 20241-0
Norwich City – Birmingham City30 September 20232-0
Norwich City – Birmingham City21 February 20233-1