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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Portsmouth11th place
BIR 52%X 27%POR 21%

Prediction

  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.545%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.92X27%3.73221%4.73
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.081273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.545%2.22Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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Head to head

Portsmouth – Birmingham City2 May 20261-1
Birmingham City – Portsmouth1 November 20254-0