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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
MID 76%X 17%PNE 8%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 269 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 29% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.4 – 0.7
Over 2.560%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
176%1.32X17%6.0328%13.14
Double chance
1X92%1.08X224%4.131283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.560%1.66Under 2.540%2.51BTTS yes45%2.21BTTS no55%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: Preston North End2-0 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Middlesbrough – Preston North End24 January 20264-0
Preston North End – Middlesbrough13 September 20252-2
Preston North End – Middlesbrough25 January 20252-1
Middlesbrough – Preston North End14 September 20241-1
Preston North End – Middlesbrough14 February 20242-1
Middlesbrough – Preston North End28 November 20234-0