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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
SWA 61%X 24%CHA 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 170 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 1.8 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Swansea City 0.3, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 46% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.543%
Both teams score42%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X24%4.11215%6.64
Double chance
1X85%1.18X239%2.541276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes42%2.36BTTS no58%1.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 14.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Charlton Athletic2 May 20263-1
Charlton Athletic – Swansea City1 November 20251-1