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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Stoke City7th place
WBA 53%X 27%STK 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.541%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X27%3.69220%5.01
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.131273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.541%2.42Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes45%2.25BTTS no55%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Stoke City1-0 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City7 February 20260-0
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion30 August 20250-1
West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City18 January 20251-1
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion24 August 20241-2
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion6 April 20242-2
West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City17 December 20231-1