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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 12:30 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
MIL 43%X 28%WOL 29%

Prediction

  • If Millwall score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X28%3.55229%3.47
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.751272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.17

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

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