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Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · Pride Park Stadium
Derby County23rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
DER 39%X 29%BLB 32%

Prediction

  • If Derby County score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Derby County win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X29%3.43232%3.17
Double chance
1X68%1.46X261%1.651271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.78BTTS yes50%2.00BTTS no50%2.00

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Derby County · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Derby County – Blackburn Rovers28 February 20263-1
Blackburn Rovers – Derby County8 November 20251-2
Derby County – Blackburn Rovers8 March 20252-1
Blackburn Rovers – Derby County9 August 20244-2
Blackburn Rovers – Derby County15 March 20223-1
Derby County – Blackburn Rovers30 October 20211-2