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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 25Friday 1 January · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
NOR 58%X 24%LIN 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 101 rating points.
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.560%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.73X24%4.16218%5.52
Double chance
1X82%1.22X242%2.371276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.560%1.68Under 2.540%2.48BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

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