TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 10Tuesday 13 October · 20:00 · St Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Birmingham City6th place
Full time4-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Preston North End24th place
BIR 58%X 25%PNE 17%

What does the market say?

Birmingham CityDrawPreston North EndRinvalo58%25%17%
Market61%22%17%

✓ Agree · both back Birmingham City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Birmingham City lead by 118 rating points.
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.547%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
158%1.72X25%4.01217%5.92
Double chance
1X83%1.20X242%2.391275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Birmingham City · Columns: Preston North End4-0 probability 2.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – Preston North End13 October 20264-0
Birmingham City – Preston North End22 April 20262-1
Preston North End – Birmingham City21 October 20250-1
Birmingham City – Preston North End1 April 20241-0
Preston North End – Birmingham City19 September 20232-1
Birmingham City – Preston North End21 January 20231-2