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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 10Tuesday 13 October · 19:45 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Full time0-1Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Blackburn Rovers13th place
BRC 48%X 28%BLB 24%

What does the market say?

Bristol CityDrawBlackburn RoversRinvalo48%28%24%
Market45%28%27%

✓ Agree · both back Bristol City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Bristol City 1.8 points per game, Blackburn Rovers 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City -0.1, Blackburn Rovers -0.6.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.542%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.52224%4.19
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.911272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.542%2.38Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers0-1 probability 7.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers13 October 20260-1
Blackburn Rovers – Bristol City24 February 20261-2
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers4 November 20250-1
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers25 January 20252-1
Blackburn Rovers – Bristol City14 September 20243-0
Bristol City – Blackburn Rovers10 April 20245-0