TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 10Tuesday 13 October · 19:45 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Full time2-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Charlton Athletic20th place
BUR 53%X 28%CHA 19%

What does the market say?

BurnleyDrawCharlton AthleticRinvalo53%28%19%
Market58%24%18%

✓ Agree · both back Burnley

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Burnley lead by 143 rating points.
  • If Burnley score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.540%
Both teams score43%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.88X28%3.63219%5.24
Double chance
1X81%1.24X247%2.141272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.540%2.53Under 2.560%1.65BTTS yes43%2.34BTTS no57%1.75

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Charlton Athletic2-2 probability 3.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Burnley – Charlton Athletic13 October 20262-2