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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 10Tuesday 13 October · 19:45 · Molineux Stadium
Wolverhampton4th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✕ Missed
Bolton Wanderers19th place
WOL 67%X 20%BOL 13%

What does the market say?

WolverhamptonDrawBolton WanderersRinvalo67%20%13%
Market67%20%13%

✓ Agree · both back Wolverhampton

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Wolverhampton 0.3, Bolton Wanderers -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Wolverhampton 2.0 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 1.2.
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 36% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.6 – 1.2
Over 2.572%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X20%5.10213%7.61
Double chance
1X87%1.15X233%3.051280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.572%1.38Under 2.528%3.63BTTS yes64%1.57BTTS no36%2.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wolverhampton · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-3 probability 1.6% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Bolton Wanderers13 October 20261-3