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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 10Wednesday 14 October · 19:45 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Full time3-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Sheffield United10th place
POR 42%X 29%SHU 29%

What does the market say?

PortsmouthDrawSheffield UnitedRinvalo42%29%29%
Market42%28%30%

✓ Agree · both back Portsmouth

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.37X29%3.51229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.731272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.548%2.10Under 2.552%1.91BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Sheffield United3-2 probability 2.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Portsmouth – Sheffield United14 October 20263-2
Portsmouth – Sheffield United14 February 20260-1
Sheffield United – Portsmouth26 November 20253-0
Sheffield United – Portsmouth8 February 20252-1
Portsmouth – Sheffield United28 September 20240-0