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Championship · Matchday 38Wednesday 17 March · 19:45 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
BLB 50%X 27%BOL 23%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Blackburn Rovers lead by 65 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Blackburn Rovers 1.8 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.1
Over 2.552%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.00X27%3.77223%4.26
Double chance
1X77%1.31X250%2.001273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.09BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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