TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 38Tuesday 16 March · 19:45 · The Hawthorns
West Bromwich Albion5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Portsmouth11th place
WBA 48%X 28%POR 24%

Prediction

  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.4 – 0.9
Over 2.541%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.52224%4.21
Double chance
1X76%1.31X252%1.921272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.541%2.42Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Bromwich Albion · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.5%

Head to head

Portsmouth – West Bromwich Albion31 January 20263-0
West Bromwich Albion – Portsmouth23 August 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Portsmouth25 January 20255-1
Portsmouth – West Bromwich Albion15 September 20240-3