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Championship · Matchday 38Tuesday 16 March · 19:45 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Norwich City15th place
WRE 38%X 28%NOR 34%

Prediction

  • If Wrexham score first, they win 66% of the time
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.65X28%3.54234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.611272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.556%1.80Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.47

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Norwich City1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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Head to head

Wrexham – Norwich City17 January 20261-2
Norwich City – Wrexham20 September 20252-3