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Championship · Matchday 38Tuesday 16 March · 19:45 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Burnley22nd place
PNE 30%X 28%BUR 42%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Burnley lead by 185 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Burnley 1.0 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.4
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.34X28%3.59242%2.37
Double chance
1X58%1.73X270%1.431272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.05Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Burnley15 February 20250-0
Burnley – Preston North End5 October 20240-0
Burnley – Preston North End11 February 20233-0
Preston North End – Burnley13 September 20221-1