TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 44Wednesday 21 April · 19:45 · Ewood Park
Blackburn Rovers13th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lincoln City16th place
BLB 46%X 28%LIN 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Blackburn Rovers lead by 64 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Blackburn Rovers 1.8 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 74% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Blackburn Rovers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.19X28%3.55226%3.81
Double chance
1X74%1.36X254%1.841272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.546%2.15Under 2.554%1.87BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Blackburn Rovers · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 13.3%

Head to head

Lincoln City – Blackburn Rovers1 September 20260-0