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Championship · Matchday 44Tuesday 20 April · 19:45 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Stoke City7th place
NOR 52%X 27%STK 22%

Prediction

  • If Norwich City score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.551%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.94X27%3.77222%4.58
Double chance
1X78%1.28X248%2.071274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Stoke City1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

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Head to head

Stoke City – Norwich City1 September 20261-0
Norwich City – Stoke City4 January 20260-2
Stoke City – Norwich City27 September 20251-1
Norwich City – Stoke City22 February 20254-2
Stoke City – Norwich City19 October 20241-1
Stoke City – Norwich City16 March 20240-3