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Championship · Matchday 44Tuesday 20 April · 19:45 · SToK Cae Ras
Wrexham18th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Millwall12th place
WRE 33%X 29%MIL 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.5, Wrexham -0.3.
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 64% of the time
  • If Millwall score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
Over 2.549%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%2.99X29%3.51238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X267%1.501271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.549%2.03Under 2.551%1.97BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Wrexham · Columns: Millwall1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
WrexhamDLWLL

Head to head

Millwall – Wrexham2 September 20260-3
Wrexham – Millwall7 February 20260-2
Millwall – Wrexham30 August 20250-2