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Championship · Matchday 44Tuesday 20 April · 19:45 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Sheffield United10th place
BOL 30%X 26%SHU 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Sheffield United lead by 89 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Sheffield United -0.2, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.33X26%3.79244%2.29
Double chance
1X56%1.77X270%1.431274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.556%1.77Under 2.544%2.30BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Sheffield United1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

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Head to head

Sheffield United – Bolton Wanderers1 September 20263-2