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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 44Wednesday 21 April · 19:45 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
BRC 57%X 25%PNE 18%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bristol City lead by 126 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City 0.6, Preston North End -0.4.
  • Last 5 games: Bristol City 1.0 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.9
Over 2.547%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.77X25%3.95218%5.54
Double chance
1X82%1.22X243%2.301275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes48%2.08BTTS no52%1.92

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Preston North End1-0 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Bristol City1 September 20261-3
Bristol City – Preston North End4 January 20260-2
Preston North End – Bristol City27 September 20250-0
Bristol City – Preston North End3 May 20252-2
Preston North End – Bristol City2 November 20241-3
Preston North End – Bristol City13 January 20242-0