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Championship · Matchday 44Tuesday 20 April · 19:45 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
CHA 25%X 29%WBA 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 146 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 76% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.3
Over 2.539%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%3.94X29%3.49246%2.18
Double chance
1X54%1.85X275%1.341271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.539%2.56Under 2.561%1.64BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Charlton Athletic2 September 20261-1
West Bromwich Albion – Charlton Athletic24 February 20261-1
Charlton Athletic – West Bromwich Albion4 November 20251-0