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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Genoa11th place
BOL 51%X 28%GEN 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bologna lead by 71 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bologna 0.1, Genoa -0.4.
  • If Bologna score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.96X28%3.61221%4.72
Double chance
1X79%1.27X249%2.051272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.543%2.35Under 2.557%1.74BTTS yes46%2.16BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bologna · Columns: Genoa1-0 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →
BolognaWLWWW
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Bologna25 January 20263-2
Bologna – Genoa20 September 20252-1
Bologna – Genoa24 May 20251-3
Genoa – Bologna19 October 20242-2
Genoa – Bologna24 May 20242-0
Bologna – Genoa5 January 20241-1