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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como4th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lazio1st place
COM 48%X 28%LAZ 25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Como score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Lazio score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.545%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Como win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X28%3.62225%4.03
Double chance
1X75%1.33X252%1.911272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.545%2.23Under 2.555%1.82BTTS yes50%2.02BTTS no50%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Como · Columns: Lazio1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →
ComoDWWWW
LazioWWWWW

Head to head

Lazio – Como19 January 20260-3
Como – Lazio24 August 20252-0
Lazio – Como10 January 20251-1
Como – Lazio31 October 20241-5