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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Juventus7th place
INT 53%X 26%JUV 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 131 rating points.
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • Last 5 games: Inter 2.4 points per game, Juventus 1.4.
  • If Inter score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Juventus score first, they win 51% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Inter win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X26%3.81221%4.78
Double chance
1X79%1.26X247%2.121274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Juventus1-1 probability 12.0%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Inter – Juventus14 February 20263-2
Juventus – Inter13 September 20254-3
Juventus – Inter16 February 20251-0
Inter – Juventus27 October 20244-4
Inter – Juventus4 February 20241-0
Juventus – Inter26 November 20231-1