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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Bluenergy Stadium
Udinese19th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Napoli8th place
UDI 19%X 24%NAP 58%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 172 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Udinese -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Napoli 1.4 points per game, Udinese 0.2.
  • If Udinese score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 81% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals0.9 – 1.8
Over 2.551%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Napoli win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
119%5.38X24%4.25258%1.73
Double chance
1X42%2.37X281%1.231276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes51%1.96BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Udinese · Columns: Napoli1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →
UdineseLLLDL
NapoliWLDWL

Head to head

Napoli – Udinese24 May 20261-0
Udinese – Napoli14 December 20251-0
Napoli – Udinese9 February 20251-1
Udinese – Napoli14 December 20241-3
Udinese – Napoli6 May 20241-1
Napoli – Udinese27 September 20234-1