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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · U-Power Stadium
Monza16th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Frosinone6th place
MON 37%X 23%FRO 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Frosinone lead by 167 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Frosinone 2.0 points per game, Monza 0.6.
  • If Monza score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.1 – 2.1
Over 2.579%
Both teams score77%
Likeliest score2-2

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Frosinone win. The single likeliest score is 2-2, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X23%4.29239%2.54
Double chance
1X61%1.65X263%1.591277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.579%1.27Under 2.521%4.65BTTS yes77%1.30BTTS no23%4.36

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Monza · Columns: Frosinone2-2 probability 7.3%

Form

Compare →
MonzaLWLLL

Head to head

Monza – Frosinone19 May 20240-1
Frosinone – Monza6 January 20242-3