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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Torino10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Atalanta13th place
TOR 34%X 27%ATA 40%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Atalanta lead by 74 rating points.
  • If Torino score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Atalanta score first, they win 67% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.5
Over 2.553%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Atalanta win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.98X27%3.71240%2.53
Double chance
1X61%1.65X266%1.501273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.87Under 2.547%2.15BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Torino · Columns: Atalanta1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
TorinoWWWLL

Head to head

Atalanta – Torino10 January 20262-0
Torino – Atalanta21 September 20250-3
Atalanta – Torino1 February 20251-1
Torino – Atalanta25 August 20242-1
Atalanta – Torino26 May 20243-0
Torino – Atalanta4 December 20233-0