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Serie A · Matchday 19Sunday 10 January · 17:30 · Unipol Domus
Cagliari12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Sassuolo15th place
CAG 40%X 28%SAS 32%

Prediction

  • If Cagliari score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Sassuolo score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cagliari win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.47X28%3.60232%3.15
Double chance
1X68%1.46X260%1.681272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.551%1.98Under 2.549%2.02BTTS yes55%1.81BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cagliari · Columns: Sassuolo1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sassuolo – Cagliari4 April 20262-1
Cagliari – Sassuolo30 October 20251-2
Sassuolo – Cagliari19 May 20240-2
Cagliari – Sassuolo11 December 20232-1
Cagliari – Sassuolo16 April 20221-0
Sassuolo – Cagliari21 November 20212-2