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Championship · Matchday 28Tuesday 26 January · 19:45 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
BOL 43%X 28%CHA 29%

Prediction

  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bolton Wanderers win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X28%3.61229%3.47
Double chance
1X71%1.41X257%1.771272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.86BTTS no46%2.16

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-1 probability 13.2%

Form

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