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Championship · Matchday 28Wednesday 27 January · 19:45 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Portsmouth11th place
SWA 48%X 28%POR 24%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 61 rating points.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.09X28%3.57224%4.14
Double chance
1X76%1.32X252%1.921272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Portsmouth – Swansea City10 March 20261-2
Swansea City – Portsmouth9 December 20251-0
Portsmouth – Swansea City1 January 20254-0
Swansea City – Portsmouth30 November 20242-2