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Championship · Matchday 28Tuesday 26 January · 19:45 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
SOU 56%X 25%WBA 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 119 rating points.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 0.9
Over 2.551%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Southampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X25%3.96219%5.29
Double chance
1X81%1.23X244%2.271275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.551%1.97Under 2.549%2.03BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 11.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Southampton11 March 20261-1
Southampton – West Bromwich Albion9 December 20253-2
West Bromwich Albion – Southampton16 February 20240-2
Southampton – West Bromwich Albion11 November 20232-1