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Championship · Matchday 28Tuesday 26 January · 19:45 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
STK 45%X 29%BLB 26%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stoke City -0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.0
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.24X29%3.43226%3.81
Double chance
1X74%1.36X255%1.811271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers11 April 20261-1
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City4 October 20251-1
Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers12 March 20251-0
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City6 November 20240-2
Blackburn Rovers – Stoke City10 February 20243-1
Stoke City – Blackburn Rovers25 November 20230-3