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Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 28Tuesday 26 January · 19:45 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
QPR9th place
BUR 39%X 28%QPR 32%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.551%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X28%3.56232%3.08
Double chance
1X68%1.48X261%1.651272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.05BTTS yes56%1.78BTTS no44%2.28

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →
BurnleyWDLLD
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Burnley26 April 20250-5
Burnley – QPR26 October 20240-0
Burnley – QPR22 April 20231-2
QPR – Burnley11 December 20220-3