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Championship · Matchday 21Friday 11 December · 20:00 · Toughsheet Community Stadium
Bolton Wanderers19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Wrexham18th place
BOL 34%X 27%WRE 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Wrexham lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 61% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.559%
Both teams score62%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Wrexham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.98X27%3.70239%2.53
Double chance
1X61%1.65X266%1.501273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.559%1.69Under 2.541%2.45BTTS yes62%1.61BTTS no38%2.64

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bolton Wanderers · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

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