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Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Birmingham City6th place
POR 34%X 29%BIR 37%

Prediction

  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X29%3.45237%2.68
Double chance
1X63%1.60X266%1.511271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes50%1.99BTTS no50%2.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

Portsmouth – Birmingham City2 May 20261-1
Birmingham City – Portsmouth1 November 20254-0