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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 12:30 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Watford21st place
QPR 61%X 24%WAT 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 125 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Watford -0.9.
  • If QPR score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.551%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.65X24%4.25216%6.36
Double chance
1X84%1.19X239%2.551276%1.31
Goals
Over 2.551%1.95Under 2.549%2.06BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Watford1-0 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL
WatfordLLWLL

Head to head

QPR – Watford3 April 20262-1
Watford – QPR16 August 20252-1
QPR – Watford1 January 20253-1
Watford – QPR30 November 20240-0
QPR – Watford14 January 20241-2
Watford – QPR5 August 20234-0