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Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 15:00 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Burnley22nd place
SHU 43%X 28%BUR 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Sheffield United 2.0 points per game, Burnley 1.0.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Sheffield United win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.30X28%3.60229%3.48
Double chance
1X71%1.40X257%1.771272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Burnley – Sheffield United21 April 20252-1
Sheffield United – Burnley26 December 20240-2
Sheffield United – Burnley20 April 20241-4
Burnley – Sheffield United2 December 20235-0
Burnley – Sheffield United10 April 20232-0
Sheffield United – Burnley5 November 20225-2