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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 12:30 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Middlesbrough1st place
PNE 15%X 22%MID 64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 269 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 41% of the time
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals0.9 – 2.0
Over 2.556%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.89X22%4.64264%1.56
Double chance
1X36%2.77X285%1.171278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.26BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Middlesbrough0-2 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Middlesbrough – Preston North End24 January 20264-0
Preston North End – Middlesbrough13 September 20252-2
Preston North End – Middlesbrough25 January 20252-1
Middlesbrough – Preston North End14 September 20241-1
Preston North End – Middlesbrough14 February 20242-1
Middlesbrough – Preston North End28 November 20234-0