TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 21Saturday 12 December · 12:30 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
STK 31%X 30%WBA 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.2
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.21X30%3.35239%2.56
Double chance
1X61%1.64X269%1.451270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.52Under 2.560%1.66BTTS yes47%2.13BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City7 February 20260-0
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion30 August 20250-1
West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City18 January 20251-1
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion24 August 20241-2
Stoke City – West Bromwich Albion6 April 20242-2
West Bromwich Albion – Stoke City17 December 20231-1