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Premier League · Matchday 13Wednesday 2 December · 20:00 · Vitality Stadium
Bournemouth7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Brighton3rd place
BOU 40%X 27%BHA 33%

Prediction

  • If Bournemouth score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.554%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Bournemouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X27%3.67233%3.05
Double chance
1X67%1.49X260%1.671273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.20BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bournemouth · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 12.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brighton – Bournemouth19 January 20261-1
Bournemouth – Brighton13 September 20252-1
Brighton – Bournemouth25 February 20252-1
Bournemouth – Brighton23 November 20241-2
Bournemouth – Brighton28 April 20243-0
Brighton – Bournemouth24 September 20233-1