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Premier League · Matchday 13Wednesday 2 December · 20:00 · The MKM Stadium
Hull City10th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Nottingham Forest19th place
HUL 27%X 29%NFO 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Nottingham Forest 0.6, Hull City -0.3.
  • If Hull City score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Nottingham Forest score first, they win 74% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.3
Over 2.541%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Nottingham Forest win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.70X29%3.50244%2.25
Double chance
1X56%1.80X273%1.371271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.541%2.43Under 2.559%1.70BTTS yes47%2.12BTTS no53%1.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Hull City · Columns: Nottingham Forest1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Hull City – Nottingham Forest7 May 20221-1
Nottingham Forest – Hull City18 December 20212-1