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Premier League · Matchday 13Wednesday 2 December · 20:00 · Anfield
Liverpool5th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sunderland20th place
LIV 61%X 23%SUN 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Liverpool lead by 157 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Liverpool 1.8 points per game, Sunderland 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Liverpool 0.5, Sunderland -0.2.
  • If Liverpool score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Sunderland score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.552%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
161%1.64X23%4.27215%6.47
Double chance
1X85%1.18X239%2.571277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.552%1.92Under 2.548%2.08BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Liverpool · Columns: Sunderland2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sunderland – Liverpool11 February 20260-1
Liverpool – Sunderland3 December 20251-1